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obama
November 2008 
Obama will win. Time to shift focus.
Posted on Oct 29th, 2008
by 
George
George
Obama will win. (see below.)
With the precious few days remaining, I suggest we now shift our focus. Give Obama the ability to govern most effectively -- by helping him win the Senate.
=== Why Obama Will Win ===
Things are going well for Obama in ALL the swing states:
Florida (27)
Ohio (20)
*North Carolina (15)
*Indiana (11)
*Missouri (11)
Colorado (9)
Nevada (5)
New Mexico (5)
* = very close margin
Assuming these go to McCain:
Montana (3)
North Dakota (3)
EVEN IF, in the worst case scenario, ALL the swing states were go to McCain, Obama STILL wins. See for yourself by going to http://www.270towin.com and clicking on the swing states to make them Red. Obama still wins the electoral vote.
No wonder http://fivethirtyeight.com has Obama's likelihood of winning at 96%!
=== Help Obama Win the Senate ===
I'm concerned that we haven't focused enough on winning a filibuster-proof 60 seats in the senate, to allow Obama to be really effective. Arianna Huffington's recent article ”Obama Should Spill a Little Red Ink to Turn a Few More Red States Blue” shows how important this is.
Here are the candidates I'm supporting and promoting in the next few days:
JIM MARTIN FOR SENATE (GA):
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ga/georgia_senate-302.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.martinforsenate.com
AL FRANKEN FOR SENATE (MN):
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/mn/minnesota_senate-257.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.alfranken.com
BRUCE LUNSFORD FOR SENATE (KY)
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ky/kentucky_senate-917.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.bruce2008.com
KAY HAGAN FOR SENATE (NC)
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate-910.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.kayhagan.com
Send this message to everyone you know who cares about this election. Only a few days left to encourage many more people to vote. The time to act is now.
Thanks for all that you have already done!
Yours truly,
George Kao
http://georgekao.com
p.s. Got something to contribute to this dicussion? Post here:
http://www.facebook.com/topic.php?uid=74346380087&topic=6517
Access: Public
Excellent research George!
I have just cross-posted your blog into the Obama-Biden pod
thanks for this,
PJ
As I controversially posted 3 days ago: Obama will win and that trend just keeps getting stronger:
– 12 of 14 political analysts say Obama will win
– 50-million outcome simulation has Obama winning 99.98% of the time
I'm concerned that we haven't focused enough on winning a filibuster-proof 60 seats in the senate, to allow Obama to be really effective. Arianna Huffington's recent article ”Obama Should Spill a Little Red Ink to Turn a Few More Red States Blue” shows how important this is.
Here's where I'm going to be focusing my efforts now (only about 48 hours remaining!) –
JIM MARTIN FOR SENATE (GA):
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ga/georgia_senate-302.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.martinforsenate.com
AL FRANKEN FOR SENATE (MN):
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/mn/minnesota_senate-257.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.alfranken.com
BRUCE LUNSFORD FOR SENATE (KY)
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ky/kentucky_senate-917.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.bruce2008.com
KAY HAGAN FOR SENATE (NC)
– how it's going:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate-910.html
– donate and spread the word:
http://www.kayhagan.com
Let's finish strong.
Appears like just about everyone's prognosticating an Obama win!!!
Even … {{{GASP!!!}}} … many … Republicans!!!!
Also here and here.
So yes, agreed, we should not become complacent with regard to Obama, but is a good tactical move to redouble efforts for down-ticket Democratic candidates, specifically in the Senate.
Besides, I would LOVE to have a professional comedian in Washington!! Am really really tired of all the amateurs we've had to endure for so long.
And the Senator from North Carolina is so 'Dole' … um? … I mean … 'dull'.
And Kentucky? I've got a chicken-bone to pick with McCON … mCcon … Mitch with a “B” … I'm originally from Kentucky. Born and raised there. Thankfully, I talked some sense into my one relative there I knew was voting for him. The rest are for Bruce.
Georgia! Georgia! Georgia! On my mind!!!!! This race will assuredly go to a run-off election. Which is not a bad thing. With three candidates in the race, it'll be difficult for either of the candidates to reach the 50% threshold. This will give the Democrats a chance to exercise some of its new-found muscle. Again, not a bad thing. Georgia may just become the center of the political universe for about a month or so after Tuesday.